What small business owners need to know about valuations, tariffs, and navigating today’s uncertainty
Private equity firms still want to do deals in 2025—but they’re far more cautious, and for good reason.
Over the past few months, we’ve seen a sharp decline in private equity (PE) activity, even for strong small businesses that might’ve been snapped up just last year. If you’re a business owner hoping for a clean exit through PE, you need to know what’s changed—and how to position your business for when the market rebounds.
Why Private Equity Deals Are Slowing in 2025
We used to see the occasional small business getting acquired by private equity, but a few years ago that picked up. Then, suddenly in the past couple of months, everything stalled. It’s not just your business—it’s across the board.
What’s driving the slowdown?
Take a client of ours who had a solid business selling, in part, imported goods to U.S. universities. Great margins, stable customer base, years of profitability.
Then:
Now, that same business looks volatile on paper. It’s not the owner’s fault—but from a PE firm’s perspective, it’s a risk they can’t afford.
👉Missed the video? Watch it here.
If you’re still hoping to attract PE interest, here’s what they do want right now:
You need a story. One that clearly explains why your business is stable despite the broader uncertainty.
Private equity isn’t just buying numbers—they’re buying a story that holds up under pressure.
Here’s something you won’t read in a press release: Chinese companies have been quietly routing goods through Mexico and Vietnam to avoid tariffs. They set up factories there, re-label products, and legally import them into the U.S. without the full tariff weight.
This worked under the first wave of tariffs, and we’re already seeing signs that it’s happening again. So while goods will still arrive, it’ll be through more complicated—and often more expensive—supply chains.
Maybe. If your business is strong and you can weather the next 12–24 months, you might find yourself in a better position when PE firms start deploying capital again. But don’t assume a better payday is guaranteed.
What’s more likely: pent-up demand will surge, and the line to get a deal done will be longer. That could drive valuations up… or lead to more selectivity.
If you're aiming for a PE deal—or just want to stay prepared—you need a clear picture of how your business would look through an investor’s eyes.
Start with your story.
Can you explain—credibly—why your margins, customers, and supply chains won’t get rattled by what’s happening globally?
Then, look at your numbers.
Your financials aren’t just documents—they’re the first impression investors get (read your business’s curb appeal).
If your financials don’t hold up, the rest of your pitch doesn’t matter.
Deals are still getting done. Just fewer of them, with more scrutiny.
Even if you’re not planning to sell tomorrow, it pays to understand what makes your business more valuable—and what could hold it back.
Building value takes intention. If you’re ready to explore what’s possible—and whether we’re the right team to support you—the next step is a conversation.